Journal is indexed in following databases:
- SCOPUS
- Web of Science Core Collection - Journal Citation Reports
- EBSCOhost
- Directory of Open Access Journals
- TRID Database - Transportation Research Board
- Index Copernicus Journals Master List
- BazTech
- Google Scholar
2023 Journal Impact Factor - 0.7
2023 CiteScore - 1.4
ISSN 2083-6473
ISSN 2083-6481 (electronic version)
Editor-in-Chief
Associate Editor
Prof. Tomasz Neumann
Published by
TransNav, Faculty of Navigation
Gdynia Maritime University
3, John Paul II Avenue
81-345 Gdynia, POLAND
e-mail transnav@umg.edu.pl
Comprehensive Analysis of Navigational Accidents Using the MAART Method: A Novel Examination of Human Error Probability in Maritime Collisions and Groundings
1 National Research and Innovation Agency, Jakarta, Indonesia
2 Kobe University, Kobe, Japan
2 Kobe University, Kobe, Japan
ABSTRACT: Navigational accidents are one of the most common types of maritime accidents, and they can result from various factors, including human error, adverse weather conditions, technical issues with the ship, or a combination of these factors. In this study, navigational accidents, including collision and grounding, that occurred in Germany were analysed using the MAART method. The novelty of this research lies in its detailed examination of the Human Error Probability (HEP) result, which has yet to be explored in previous studies. There are 47 collision cases and 15 grounding cases in the 13-year occurrence period. In total, 290 causal factors were found in the analysis. Furthermore, it is found that management, media, and machines are the main causal factors in navigational accidents in Germany. In collision accidents, management factors had the highest number of contributing factors, followed by media and machine factors. Contrary to grounding accidents, based on the results of the EPC, the machine factor had the highest number of contributing factors to accidents, followed by media and management. Finally, the human error probability values for collision accidents range from 0.06 to 1, averaging 0.54. In contrast, the HEP values for grounding accidents range from 0.0048 to 1, averaging 0.26.
KEYWORDS: Comprehensive Methods, Grounding Accident, Systematic Human Error Reduction and Prediction Approach (SHERPA), Human Error Probability (HEP), Navigational Accidents, Collision, Technique for Human Error Rate Prediction (THERP), Maritime Accident Analysis and Reduction Techniques (MAART)
REFERENCES
Fan L, Wang M, Yin J. The impacts of risk level based on PSC inspection deficiencies on ship accident consequences. Research in Transportation Business and Management. 2019;33:100464. - doi:10.1016/j.rtbm.2020.100464
Li B, Pang FW. An approach of vessel collision risk assessment based on the D-S evidence theory. Ocean Engineering. 2013;74:16–21. - doi:10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.09.016
Weng J, Yang D. Investigation of shipping accident injury severity and mortality. Accid Anal Prev. 2015;76:92–101. - doi:10.1016/j.aap.2015.01.002
Weng J, Ge YE, Han H. Evaluation of Shipping Accident Casualties using Zero-inflated Negative Binomial Regression Technique. Journal of Navigation. 2016;69:433–448. - doi:10.1017/S0373463315000788
Ko YG, Kim SJ, Paik JK. Effects of a deformable striking ship’s bow on the structural crashworthiness in ship–ship collisions. Ships and Offshore Structures. 2018;13:228–250. - doi:10.1080/17445302.2018.1442115
Kim K Il, Jeong JS, Lee BG. Study on the analysis of near-miss ship collisions using logistic regression. Journal of Advanced Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Informatics. 2017;21:467–473. - doi:10.20965/jaciii.2017.p0467
Du L, Goerlandt F, Kujala P. Review and analysis of methods for assessing maritime waterway risk based on non-accident critical events detected from AIS data. Reliab Eng Syst Saf. 2020;200:106933. - doi:10.1016/j.ress.2020.106933
Pedersen PT, Chen J, Zhu L. Design of bridges against ship collisions. Marine Structures. 2020;74:102810. - doi:10.1016/j.marstruc.2020.102810
Chen J, Bian W, Wan Z, et al. Identifying factors influencing total-loss marine accidents in the world: Analysis and evaluation based on ship types and sea regions. Ocean Engineering. 2019;191:106495. - doi:10.1016/j.oceaneng.2019.106495
Chen J, Bian W, Wan Z, et al. Factor assessment of marine casualties caused by total loss. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 2020;47:101560. - doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101560
Kim K Il, Jeong JS, Lee BG. Study on the analysis of near-miss ship collisions using logistic regression. Journal of Advanced Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Informatics. 2017;21:467–473. - doi:10.20965/jaciii.2017.p0467
Wang Y, Fu S. Framework for Process Analysis of Maritime Accidents Caused by the Unsafe Acts of Seafarers: A Case Study of Ship Collision. J Mar Sci Eng. 2022;10:1793. - doi:10.3390/jmse10111793
Sujan MA, Embrey D, Huang H. On the application of Human Reliability Analysis in healthcare: Opportunities and challenges. Reliab Eng Syst Saf. 2020;194:0–1. - doi:10.1016/j.ress.2018.06.017
Helmreich RL. On error management: Lessons from aviation. Br Med J. 2000;320:781–785. - doi:10.1136/bmj.320.7237.781
Kirimoto Y, Hirotsu Y, Nonose K, et al. Development of a human reliability analysis (HRA) guide for qualitative analysis with emphasis on narratives and models for tasks in extreme conditions. Nuclear Engineering and Technology. 2021;53:376–385. - doi:10.1016/j.net.2020.10.004
Mirzaei Aliabadi M, Esmaeili R, Mohammadfam I, et al. Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) Using Standardized Plant Analysis Risk-Human (SPAR-H) and Bayesian Network (BN) for Pipeline Inspection Gauges (PIG) Operation: A Case Study in a Gas Transmission Plant. Health Scope. 2019;8. - doi:10.5812/jhealthscope.87148
Di Pasquale V, Miranda S, Iannone R, et al. A Simulator for Human Error Probability Analysis (SHERPA). Reliab Eng Syst Saf [Internet]. 2015;139:17–32. Available from: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832015000484. - doi:10.1016/j.ress.2015.02.003
Ramezani A, Nazari T, Rabiee A, et al. Human error probability quantification for NPP post-accident analysis using Cognitive-Based THERP method. Progress in Nuclear Energy. 2020;123:103281. - doi:10.1016/j.pnucene.2020.103281
Gibson WH, Kirwan B. Application of the CARA HRA tool to air traffic management safety cases. 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management 2008, PSAM 2008. 2008;2:1312–1319.
Wang W, Liu X, Qin Y. A modified HEART method with FANP for human error assessment in high-speed railway dispatching tasks. Int J Ind Ergon. 2018;67:242–258. - doi:10.1016/j.ergon.2018.06.002
Deacon T, Amyotte PR, Khan FI, et al. A framework for human error analysis of offshore evacuations. Saf Sci. 2013;51:319–327. - doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2012.07.005
Akyuz E, Celik M. A methodological extension to human reliability analysis for cargo tank cleaning operation on board chemical tanker ships. Saf Sci. 2015;75:146–155. - doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2015.02.008
Bowo LP, Furusho M. A comparison of the common causes of maritime accidents in Canada, Indonesia, Japan, Australia, and England. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing. Springer International Publishing; 2019. - doi:10.1007/978-3-319-94391-6_24
Islam R, Abbassi R, Garaniya V, et al. Development of a human reliability assessment technique for the maintenance procedures of marine and offshore operations. J Loss Prev Process Ind. 2017;50:416–428. - doi:10.1016/j.jlp.2017.10.015
Akyuz E, Celik M. A methodological extension to human reliability analysis for cargo tank cleaning operation on board chemical tanker ships. Saf Sci. 2015;75:146–155. - doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2015.02.008
De Maya BN, Kurt RE. Application of fuzzy cognitive maps to investigate the contributors of maritime grounding accidents. RINA, Royal Institution of Naval Architects - Human Factors 2018, Papers. 2018;44.
Wang W, Liu X, Qin Y. A modified HEART method with FANP for human error assessment in high-speed railway dispatching tasks. Int J Ind Ergon. 2018;67:242–258. - doi:10.1016/j.ergon.2018.06.002
Bowo LP, Prilana RE, Furusho M. A modified heart-4m method with topsis for analyzing Indonesia collision accidents. TransNav. 2020;14:751–759. - doi:10.12716/1001.14.03.30
Bowo LP, Ispandiari AR, Wibowo DA, et al. Maritime accident analysis and reduction technique for analysing maritime collision accidents. Australian Journal of Maritime and Ocean Affairs [Internet]. 2024;0:1–28. Available from: - doi:10.1080/18366503.2024.2350792
Mazaheri A, Montewka J, Nisula J, et al. Usability of accident and incident reports for evidence-based risk modeling – A case study on ship grounding reports. Saf Sci. 2015;76:202–214. - doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2015.02.019
Bowo LP. A NEW METHODOLOGY ON HUMAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS FOR SHIP SAFETY: Maritime Accident Analysis and Reduction Technique (MAART). Kobe University; 2021.
Bowo LP, Furusho M. Integrated methods for analysing the causal factors in Australian maritime occupational accidents. Int J Human Factors and Ergonomics. 2021;8:23–25. - doi:10.1504/IJHFE.2021.115042
Kamis AS, Fuad AFA, Anwar AQ, et al. A systematic scoping review on ship accidents due to off-track manoeuvring: A systematic scoping review on ship accidents due to off-track manoeuvring. WMU Journal of Maritime Affairs. Springer Berlin Heidelberg; 2022. - doi:10.1007/s13437-022-00274-2
ITF. STCW: A Guide for Seafarers: Taking into account the 2010 Manila amendments. International Transport Workers’ Federation,. 2010;78p.
Chauvin C, Lardjane S, Morel G, et al. Human and organisational factors in maritime accidents: Analysis of collisions at sea using the HFACS. Accid Anal Prev. 2013;59:26–37. - doi:10.1016/j.aap.2013.05.006
Kamis AS, Fuad AFA, Saadon MSI, et al. the Impact of Basic Training on Seafarers’ Safety Knowledge, Attitude and Behaviour. J Sustain Sci Manag. 2020;15:137–158. - doi:10.46754/jbsd.2020.08.012
Parrott DS. Bridge Resource Management for Small Ships: The Watchkeeper’s Manual for Limited-tonnage Vessels. McGraw Hill Professional; 2011.
Salas E, Rosen MA, Burke CS, et al. Markers for enhancing team cognition in complex environments: The power of team performance diagnosis. Aviat Space Environ Med. 2007;78.
Citation note:
Bowo L.P., Gusti A.P., Waskito D.H., Puriningsih F.S., Muhtadi A., Furusho M.: Comprehensive Analysis of Navigational Accidents Using the MAART Method: A Novel Examination of Human Error Probability in Maritime Collisions and Groundings. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 18, No. 3, doi:10.12716/1001.18.03.10, pp. 565-563, 2024
Authors in other databases:
lfuiXQcAAAAJMasao Furusho:
orcid.org/0000-0001-7085-7593
25026052000
orcid.org/0000-0001-7085-7593
25026052000
Other publications of authors:
File downloaded 94 times
