Journal is indexed in following databases:
- SCOPUS
- Web of Science Core Collection - Journal Citation Reports
- EBSCOhost
- Directory of Open Access Journals
- TRID Database - Transportation Research Board
- Index Copernicus Journals Master List
- BazTech
- Google Scholar
2023 Journal Impact Factor - 0.7
2023 CiteScore - 1.4
ISSN 2083-6473
ISSN 2083-6481 (electronic version)
Editor-in-Chief
Associate Editor
Prof. Tomasz Neumann
Published by
TransNav, Faculty of Navigation
Gdynia Maritime University
3, John Paul II Avenue
81-345 Gdynia, POLAND
e-mail transnav@umg.edu.pl
Method of Serious Traffic Incidents Analysis with the Use of Stochastic Timed Petri Nets
1 Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
ABSTRACT: One of the primary sources of information and inspiration in the creation of new, more secure solutions in traffic organization are the occurrences with most serious consequences called accidents (air), serious accidents (rail) or catastrophes (road, sea). Accidents investigation is usually conducted in terms of searching for the reasons of these events and to make preventive recommendations aimed at elimination of these causes. In this paper, it is proposed to draw more attention to the events of somewhat less severity of the consequences - serious incidents (air), traffic conflicts (road) and incidents (rail, maritime). A model of real serious traffic incident, created with the use of stochastic, timed Petri nets is presented. Simulation experiments were carried out, which allowed for determination of the probability of transformation of the incident into the accident. The proposed method of analyzing serious traffic incidents also allows to determine the effectiveness of the barriers that have prevented an accident in a real occurrence.
KEYWORDS: Traffic Incidents in Transport, Safety Barriers, Traffic Incident Analysis, Serious Traffic Incidents, Stochastic Timed Petri Nets, Air Traffic, Transport Safety, ECDIS (Electronic Chart Display and Information System)
REFERENCES
Aviation Law 2012. Act of 3 July 2002, Journal of Laws, No. 130, item. 1112.
Brooker, P. 2008. The Uberlingen accident: Macro-level safety lessons, Safety Science 46 (2008), p. 1483-1508.
Civil Aviation Authority 2008. Statement No. 7 of President of the Office of Civil Aviation from 24 April 2008 on air event No. 291/05, Warsaw. (in Polish)
Joint Accident Investigation Commission of Estonia, Finland and Sweden 1997. Final report on the capsizing on 28 September 1994 in the Baltic Sea of the ro-ro passenger vessel, Edita Ltd, Helsinki.
European Union 2010. Regulation (EU) No 996/2010 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 October 2010 on the investigation and prevention of accidents and incidents in civil aviation and repealing Directive 94/56/EC, Official Journal of the European Union, L 295/35
Federal Aviation Administration 2011. Introduction to TCAS II version 7.1, US Department of Transportation, DOT HQ-111358.
International Civil Aviation Organisation 2001. Aircraft Accident and Incident Investigation, International Standards and Recommended Practices, Annex 13 to the Convention on International Civil Aviation.
Jensen, K. 1997. Coloured Petri Nets. Basic Concepts, Analysis Methods and Practical Use. Monographs in Theoretical Computer Science. Springer Verlag.
Lower, M., Magott, J. & Skorupski, J. 2013a. Analysis of Air Traffic Incidents with the Use of Fuzzy Sets, Reliability of Critical Infrastructure, Proceedings of the XLI Winter School on Reliability, Szczyrk.
Lower, M., Magott, J. & Skorupski, J. 2013b. Air Traffic Incidents Analysis with the Use of Fuzzy Sets, in: L. Rutkowski et al. (Eds.): ICAISC 2013, Part I, LNAI 7894, p. 306–317, Springer-Verlag.
Minister of Transport 2007. Regulation of 18th January 2007 on accidents and incidents, Journal of Laws, No. 35, item 225.
Netherland Aviation Safety Board 1978. Final report of the investigation into the accident with the collision of KLM flight 4805 and Pan American flight 1736 at Tenerife airport, ICAO Circular 153-AN/56. Amsterdam.
Republique du Senegal 2002. Raport d’Enquette du Comission d’Enquette technique sur les causes du naufrage du Joola. Dakar.
Skorupski, J. 2012a. Method of analysis of the relation between serious incident and accident in air traffic, Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management (ISBN 978-0-415-68379-1), p. 2393-2401, CRC Press Balkema, London.
Skorupski, J. 2013. Traffic Incidents Analysis as a Tool for Improvement of Transport Safety. in: Weintrit A. (ed.): Navigational Problems. Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, p. 101-108, CRC Press/Taylor & Francis Group/Balkema, Leiden.
Surhone, L.M., Timpledon M.T. & Marseken S.F. 2010. Ufa Train Disaster, VDM Publishing, 2010.
Citation note:
Skorupski J.: Method of Serious Traffic Incidents Analysis with the Use of Stochastic Timed Petri Nets. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 7, No. 4, doi:10.12716/1001.07.04.16, pp. 599-606, 2013
Other publications of authors:
File downloaded 1157 times
