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Table2. Selected parameters of manoeuvring areas for 3
chosensectionsofthewaterwaywithmooredships(values
inmeters)
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Series Parametr Pilotowe Mid. PilotoweWęglowe
/Quay N Pilotowe S N
_______________________________________________
Series2
widthofSMA95% 41.5 35.5 31 30
widthofmeanSMA 24 22.6 20.3 18.7
standarddeviationSMA 4.73.32.72.8
Series3
widthofSMA95% 42 34.5 31 30
widthofmeanSMA 23.9 22.6 20.5 18.7
standarddeviationSMA 4.73.22.72.8
Series
4
widthofSMA95% 39 35.5 33.9 32.3
widthofmeanSMA 22.4 21.8 20.2 19.7
standarddeviationSMA 4 3.73.13
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TheparametersfromTab.2wasusedtodetermine
the safe future waterway parameters for ships of
L=100m that canbe operated in presence of moored
ships.Theconfidencelevelforwaterwaymodel was
setas95%confidenceintervalbutthewaterwaywas
shiftedawayof themoored biggestship
(m/fJantar)
forthedistance guarantee99%of probabilityof safe
operation. The following formula was used to
determine the distance from waterway limits to
mooredshipbasedonconfidenceintervals:
99% 95%
3.29 1.96 5
m
dkks sm
where:
d
m–distancefrommodelwaterwaytomooredship,
s–standarddeviationofnormaldistributionofships
positionsdeterminedinsimulations,
k
99%–confidenceintervalsfornormaldistributionfor
99%.
As the result of above calculation and some
approximations, the model of safe waterway was
created (Fig. 10). The presented model waterway is
one of the major outputs from the study, since it
shows how in the future the waterway shall be
implemented.
Figure10.Suggestedparametersofnew waterwaytofulfil
alltheneedsofportusers
7 CONCLUSIONS
Presentedstudyshowedthepotentialusabilityofreal
timesimulationmethodsforcreationandadjustingof
the port regulations in quantitative way. Moreover,
suchmethodcouldbeusedtosolveconflictsbetween
user groups arising in port areas in objective way
withuseoftherealtimesimulationmethod.
Thereal
timesimulationmethodandappliedherelimitedtask
simulator proved its usability in port regulation
creation to increase the cost of port operations
withoutreducingthenavigationalsafetylevel.Some
precautions shall be taken into account like for
example:
Simulators are widely used tools but verification
shall
bemadeonthebeginningcoveredespecially
the simulation hydrodynamic model and
hydrometeorologicalconditions toadjust themas
muchaspossibletothereality.
The simulationmethod isoften usedas so called
“single ship passage study” so the results are
basedonsingleorverysmallgroupofsimulations
withoutstatisticaldataprocessingandwithoutthe
plan of experiments. Such approach is not
acceptable and the results achieved in such way,
evenbysophisticatedmodels,arequestionable.
Verygoodlinkshallbeestablishedbetweenpilots
with good local knowledge for validation and as
localknowledgefoundation.
So‐
called Super Captain (the person who knows
very well simulator and its limitations and has
significant knowledge about ship manoeuvring)
shallbeaskedforfinalvalidationofallsimulation
setup.
The presented study delivered several detailed
results formulated as conclusions (more than 15
detailedconclusionsweredrawn),whichweregiven
to
the Harbour Authority to include them after
legislation changes incorporated to the port
regulations.Suchdetailedremarkswereforexample:
1 ItispossibletoentershipsoflengthuptoL=90m
andwidthuptoB=12m(bothparametersmustbe
fulfilled at the same time) with moored ships of
breadth up to B=6.5m (m/f Monika type) on
Pilotowe Quay and moored m/f Jantar (breadth
equaltoB=11.5m)withwindupto10m/sfromany
direction.
2 ItispossibletoenterunitsoflengthuptoL=100m
andwidthuptoB=13m(bothparametersmustbe
fulfilledatthesame
time)withmooredshipofm/f
Monika type at Pilotowe Quay and moored m/f
Jantar in goodweatherconditions, i.e. with wind
upto4°B(8m/s)fromanydirection.
It should be noted that formulation of such
conclusions derived from simulation researches
shouldbemadeinspecialclearlanguagewith
some
legislationbackgroundmainlyto:
1 coverallpossibleshipsizes,
2 coverallpossiblemeteorologicalconditions,
3 coverallpossibleoperationalsituations,
4 belogicallyconsistentandunderstand,
5 must not contain inconsistent and contradictory
statements.