72
Table9Safetymeasureofshipcollision
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
AccidentHazardProbability/Consequence RiskSafetyMeasuretoreducerisk
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
EventCausesProbabilityConsequence
_________________________________________________________________________________________
HumanFatigue&lackof Frequent Death/disability Intolerable Increaseknowledge&skills&
errororknowledge&skillspromotecultureofsafety
ShipTypeofships, Probable Death/disability Tolerable Replaceoldshipswithnew
Conditions length,speed,stateshipsandconductcareful
ofloadingexaminationsoftheships
conditions
Collision EnvironmentalDistance
between Probable Majorinjury Tolerable Makenavigationalaids
factorsvesselsiscloseavailable
Machinery Failureofmain Probable Majorinjury Tolerable Conductregularmaintenance
factorsengineorelectronics
Navigational InappropriatecrewProbable MajorinjuryTolerableIncreasecrewmanning
factorsmanningcapabilities
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 CONCLUSIONS
This paper presented an implementation of the AIS
for a study on FSA. In this context, the AIS was
implemented as a source of data for the hazard
identificationandshipcollisionprobabilityoftherisk
assessmentstepoftheFSA.
BasedontheAISdata,theshippopulation
passing
through the Malacca Straits on 6/2/2010 was
calculated. This was broken down as: tanker ships
37%, cargo ships 26%, other ships 10%, tugs 9%,
passengerships3%,towingandfishingships1%,and
unknownvessels14%.
Inthispaper,theidentificationofhazardsanalysis
has established. The ranking of
hazard analysis are
probleminheadsituation(6.56), Errorof navigation
(6.13), failure of machinery and electricity (5.9),
problem in crossing situation (5.8), bad weather
(5.75), over traffic density (5.23), problem in
overtaking situation (4.68), Distance between vessels
are very close (3.56), Speed of own ship and target
ship(2.87)and
characteristicareaisnotgood(1.16).
The risk analysis comprised two main activities:
probability modeling and consequence modeling. In
this paper, probabilities were established based on
AISdataandhazardanalysis.
A number of situational and traffic density
factors were analyzed in order to calculate ship
collisionprobabilitiesbasedon
AISandGISdata. In
this case, based on hazard analysis, the head on
condition, overtaking condition and crossing
condition taken to make analysis of ship collision
probabilityin the Malacca Straits. Theresult of ship
collision probability calculation taken based on AIS
dataandGISat02.00h,10.00hand
22.00h.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
Theauthorswishtothank membersof themaritime
safetysystemlaboratoryatKobeUniversityfortheir
assistance and continuous support of analysis and
evaluationoftheAISandotherdata.
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