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2 MARINETRAFFICSIMULATION
2.1 Generalstepsofmarinetrafficsimulationand
requireddata
General procedures of marine traffic simulation are
composed of the following steps: (e.g. Nakamura
2011)
Step1:observationofactualmarinetraffic;
Step2:descriptionoftheobservedmarinetraffic;
Step3:simulationoftheobserved
marinetraffic;and
Step4:evaluationofthesimulatedmarinetraffic.
Atthefirststep,dataofactualmarinetrafficina
targeted area is acquired through an investigation
based on visual or radar observation, or video
recording (e.g. The Japan Association of Marine
Safety1991).Atthesecondstep,
theacquireddatais
analysedtogetattributesofshipsandthetrafficsuch
asshiptypeandsize.Thentrafficvolumeorgeneral
trafficrouteincludingwaypointsareobtained.Atthe
third step, a series of traffic flow data, which
represents traffic conditions of target area, is
generated using these
attributes. Then the target
trafficissimulatedbasedonthetrafficflowdata.In
this step, it is possible to include the future
prediction or new traffic systems such as traffic
separation schemes according to the purpose of
simulation. At the last step, the results of the
simulation are evaluated
with appropriate means
corresponding to the purposes. For instance,
frequency or position of one to one ship encounter
situationsisexaminedforthepurposeofassessment
oftheeffectofmodificationofashapeofchannel.
2.2 RequireddataobtainedfromAIS
Theauthorshaveproposedmodifiedproceduresfor
marine traffic
simulation using AIS data. We
developed tools for obtaining some attributes from
AISdataandanautomateddatagenerationsystems
for these attributes. Table 1 shows analysable
attributes by traditional procedure with radar
observationandbytheproposedprocedurewithAIS
data, which are the required data for the marine
traffic simulation. The attributes denoted by “yes”
and “no” are available and not available,
respectively.Theattributes denoted by “hard”have
seldom been obtained from visual or radar
observationbecauseitrequires unrealisticamountof
worktoanalysethembyhand.Forthisreason,many
researchers have focused on whole marine
traffic
ratherthanthemovementofindividualshipsintheir
analyses.
The procedure with AIS data makes analyses
easier,fasterandmore accurate thanthe traditional
procedure.This procedure alsomakes itpossible to
analysethedetailof the individualshipmovement,
in addition to the analyses of whole traffic
flow.
Here, it should be noted that AIS data does not
includetheinformationofsmallshipswhereAISare
notinstalled,suchasdomesticshipsoflessthan500
GTandinternationalshipsoflessthan300GT(IMO
2003).
Table1.Comparisonofanalysableattributeswhicharethe
requireddataforthemarinetrafficsimulation
_______________________________________________
ObjectRequiredAvailability
___________________
datawithRadar withAIS
_______________________________________________
ODdata(gate) hard yes
Individual ODdata(port) hard no
shipShip’sspeedhard yes
movement Waypointshard no
CA*behaviours hard yes
_______________________________________________
Shipsizeandtype yes yes
Ship’sspeedyes yes
Distribution Trajectoriesyes yes
oftraffic Trafficvolume yes yes
flowTrafficrouteyes yes
ODtableyes yes
_______________________________________________
*collisionavoidance
3 MODIFIEDPROCEDUREFORMARINE
TRAFFICSIMULATIONWITHAISDATA
Figure1showstheproposedmodifiedprocedureof
marine traffic simulation with AIS data. In this
figure, rectangles with grey shading indicate the
unique process by using AIS data. Rectangles
withoutshadingindicatethecommonprocess,which
arealso included in
the traditional procedures with
visual or radar observation. Rectangles drawn by
heavylineindicatetheautomatedprocesses.
Here, we briefly describe the outline of the
procedure with AIS data for marine traffic
simulation.
3.1 Step1‐GatesettingforODsurvey
Preparation of an origin and a destination survey
(OD
survey) in a targeted area is conducted at
Process 1‐1. Gates, which represent a starting point
andanendpointoftrafficflowaswellasanorigin
and a destination of a ship, should be set at
appropriate places, considering the observed traffic
flowofthetargetedareain
ordertocoverallarterial
trafficroutes.
3.2 Step2‐ODsurveyandmodelling
At the next step, OD survey and modelling for the
trafficsimulationareconducted.AtProcess2‐1,OD
survey is conducted based on the set gates. At
Process2‐2,eachdataofeachship
whichpassedthe
gatebasedontheODsurveyisextractedasaseries
ofpositiondata,i.e.trajectory.Thenthetrajectories,
which enable to reproduce the target traffic for
marinetrafficsimulation,areclassifiedaccording to
the routes defined by origin and destination gates.
Irrelevant data for the purpose of
analysis such as
anchoredshipsisfilteredoutinthisprocess.