521
3.4
Seasonality
Seasonality in vessel use could alter the impact of
wakeonerosion.Ifvesselstrafficwashighestduring
the summer when plant growth was highest, the
impact of sediment suspension on light availability
maybeincreased.TrafficontheMississippiRiveris
expected to peak in the fall when agricultural
commodity
traffic and offshore construction and
drilling activity is highest. However, no seasonality
was apparent in the data (Figure 8). There is no
obviouspatternofseasonalityinBayouLafourcheor
theMississippiRiverandnotrendswereapparentin
the other report zones. Offshore supply vessels and
crewboats are engaged
in support of production
activitythroughouttheyearwhichnormalizesvessel
activity.
4
LIMITATIONS
4.1
DataCoverage
There are a number of technical limitations which
impact vessel counts. The number of ships crossing
report zones represents a lower bound on traffic
volume since not all ships carry an AIS transmitter,
and therefore many smaller fishing and recreational
craft are not enumerated. The vast majority of
commercial vessels operating
in the Gulf of Mexico
are believed to carry AIS systems for safety and
insurance reasons, however, there are a number of
reasonswhyshipscarryingAIStransmittersmaynot
be counted. The transmittermay not be operational,
the receiver may not be operational, there may be
interferencebetweenthe
transmitterandreceiver, or
the system may not be able to record data into the
database(Chang2004).
4.2
VesselSizeUncertainty
Forasmallnumberofvessels,noinformationabout
sizeorclasswasavailableandgrosstonnagewasnot
included.Asaresult,thetotalreportedgrosstonnage
underestimates the actual gross tonnage but the
magnitudeoftheerrorisexpectedtobesmall.
The draft of vessels will vary depending
on
whether or not they are laden, and no attempt was
made to account for this difference. Some freight
ships may be laden both entering and leaving the
region, but in general, vessels will only be laden in
onedirection.Forexample,crudeoiltankerswillbe
laden while entering
ports while OSVs and many
bulkcarrierswillbeladenwhileleavingport.
4.3
TemporalUncertainty
As shallow water production in the Gulf of Mexico
continuestodeclineandproductioninthedeepwater
increases, the quantity, type and spatial distribution
of activity is expected to change and the number of
small OSVs will be replaced by larger OSVs. In
addition, the movement of tank ships and LNG
carriersintothechannelsdependsonthequantityof
oilandgasimportedintotheUnitedStates.Increases
in domestic oil and gas production or decreases in
domestic consumption would reduce traffic in the
channels, particularly in the Calcasieu and Sabine
Pass channels. The construction of the Keystone XL
pipeline
linking the Athabasca oil sands with Gulf
Coastrefineriesmayalsoreducetrafficthroughthese
channels. Conversely, the construction of proposed
LNGexportterminals atthe Cameronor Sabin Pass
LNGfacilitieswouldincreasetraffic.
Data collection began in January 2011,
approximatelythreemonthsafterthe2010deepwater
drillingmoratoriumwas
lifted.Inearly2011,manyin
the offshore industry complained of a “de facto”
drilling moratorium due to the slow issuance of
drillingpermits.Thiscouldhavereducedthequantity
of vessel traffic in the early part of the sample,
however,noreductionwasnotable.
4.4
AttributionUncertainty
The attribution of tugs to offshore support or non‐
offshoresupportrolesisdifficulttoassess.Sometugs
are specialized for offshore support, but many tugs
supportavarietyofindustriesanditisnotpossibleto
differentiate between roles. Not all OSVs and
crewboatsareusedinsupportoffederal
oilandgas
activity. A small portion of vessel movements are
used in support of oil and gas activity in state and
inland waters. However, based on the level of state
and OCS production and development activity, the
vast majority of OSV and crewboat traffic is in
supportoffederal
projects.
5
FUTUREDIRECTIONS
Automatic identification system data provides the
opportunitytoquantifythequantity,size,speed,and
temporal distribution of vessels using the channels.
Usingthedataandresultspresentedinthispaper,a
modelof thewake impactsonthe shoreline may be
parameterized if complemented with experimental
studies.Wakeeffects
ontheshorelinearedependent
on the shape of the channel and shoreline
composition, and empirical measurements of the
effects of vessel passage on wave energy and
sediment suspension are required for additional
assessment.
REFERENCES
Bauer, B. O., M. S. Lorang, and D.J. Sherman. Estimating
boat‐wake‐induced levee erosion using sediment
suspensionmeasurements.ASCE JournalofWaterway,
Port,Coastal,andOceanEngineering,128,152,2002.
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM). Outer
Continental Shelf Oil and Gas Leasing Program: 2012‐
2017 Final Programmatic Environmental Impact
Statement. U.S. Department of the Interior. Bureau of
OceanEnergyManagement,2012.
Chang,S.J.DevelopmentandanalysisofAISapplications
asan efficient tool for vessel traffic service. In, Oceans
‘04.MTTS/IEEETechno‐Ocean’04.IEEE2249‐2253,2004.
Felski A., Jaskólski K.: The Integrity of Information
Received by
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