388
stant of time t
1
the distances between ships are 5
miles and at some instant of time t
2
– 4 miles. Dis-
tances difference is 1 mile. Taking into account that
AIS transmits the positions received from receiver-
indicator NSS we calculate root-mean-square errors
of determining distances and bearings by formulae
(10) and (11). Assume NSS is working in the usual
condition. Root-mean-square coordinates errors are
a factor of m
φλ
= ± 20-25 m, and double errors (with
probability 95%) will be a factor of ± 40-50 m (IMO
Resolution A.953(23). 2003). According to (10) and
(11) at instant of time t
1
with probability of 95% dis-
tance error
between ships is ± 0.5
o
, and error of on-
coming ship’s bearing is ± 0.44
o
. At instant of time
t
2
the error of bearing determination is ± 0.55
o
, and
the error of distance determination is just the same.
The errors of distance determination as above indi-
cated are not great and they may be ignored. But the
point is that bearings defining within the distances
of maneuvering zone end practically the same
whether we use AIS or radar observation. The rela-
tive plotting may show the same results and the
same situations of approaching ships as we have
considered above when writing about radar observa-
tions.
If necessary to consider an example when the dis-
tance differences between ships at the time of meas-
uring is equal to 2 miles (measures are being done
every 6 minutes at the same ships’ speed), then for
the distance of 5 miles (1
st
measure) the error of
bearing measuring would be the same ± 0.44
o
, and
for the distance of 3 miles (2
nd
measure) it would be
± 0.73
o
according to (11). It won’t improve the situa-
tion, more than likely; deteriorate it i.e. the seeming
approaching situation might happen not to be in ac-
cordance with the truth. In this example AIS fails to
gain even to radar observation, where the error of
taking bearing can be considered as independent of
distances between ships.
It is of interest to examine AIS scope for much
earlier ships’ approaching situation. Suppose, that
under the conditions of previous example ships
started using the information of AIS at a distance of
20 miles. It means the errors of distance determina-
tion will not be changed and can as before be ig-
nored because of their infinitesimal, and errors of
bearing determination will reduce to one-quarter,
adding a factor of ± 0.1
o
according to (11). But, in
spite of the above, owing to distances increasing to
one-fourth, closest point of approach will increase
being equal to 6.6 cables as to (3). Owing to random
errors of taking bearings we, as a matter of fact, re-
ceive the same variants of approaching situation
from AIS, as we have considered them from radar
observations.
Thus, the use of AIS, taking positions from SNS,
funning in operation condition in order to clear up
the situation when ships are meeting on nearly recip-
rocal courses cannot solve the problem. And we can
repeat again and again the recommendations of Rule
14 that when the vessels are meeting on nearly recip-
rocal courses and if there is any doubt as to whether
such a situation exists we shall assume that it does
exists and other the course to starboard in due time.
If the information is entered into AIS from NSS,
running in differential condition, the random error of
ships’ positions with arability of 95% could be taken
as equal to 10 m (IMO Assembly Resolution. 2003).
Here according to (11) root-mean-square of bearing
error will equal to ± 0.1
o
when the distance between
ships is 5 miles and about ± 0.25
o
when the distance
is 20 miles.
6 CONCLUSION
Correspondingly, closest point of approach at the
same distance difference of 1 mile, as in previous
examples, will be equal to 0.7 cables in the first case
and 3.3 cables in second one according to (3). Such
a small closest point of approach of 5 miles at a
starting distance would indoubtly indicate that the
ships are meeting on reciprocal course (head-on sit-
uation). At a starting distance when the ships are 20
miles apart and the information about ships’ position
is entered info AIS from NSS, operating in differen-
tial condition, a seeming closest point of approach
(3.3 cable) is such that it is able to lead a navigator
into error as to the approaching situation. Thus, AIS,
having received ships’ positions from NSS, operat-
ing in the differential condition, allow a navigator to
make proper judgment about the ships’ meeting on
reciprocal courses even at such a small distance dif-
ference between them at the time of measuring as 1
mile.
REFERENCES
Bukaty, V. M. 2005. Research Investigations of Automatic In-
formation Systems′ Means for Increasing Ships′ Safe Pass-
ing. Report on SIW/BSAFF, edited by Bukaty V. M.
No.2004-03. Kaliningrad. – 26 p.
Directions on Arranging Pilot Service aboard Sta-going Ships
of Fishing Fleet USSR. 1987. Leningrad, Transport
Karapuzov, A. I. & Mironov, A.W. 2005. Maneuvering of
Large-tonnage Ships. Novorossiysk, NGMA.
Kolomiychuck, N. D. 1975. Hidrography. Moskva, GUNIO
MO SSSR
Lushnikow, E. M. 2007. Ships′ Navigation Safety. Kaliningrad,
BSAFF.
Snopkov, W. I. 2004. Ship′s Navigation: Text-book Sunct-
Petersburg, Professional.
IMO Assembly Resolution A.953(23) 5th Dec. 2003. World-
wide Radionavigational System.