272
2 The position of the vessel is put at the “greatest
disadvantage”, but it means on a vertex or
position line of the cocked hat n-polygon
closest to a known danger. The error margin
implied by the cocked hat area cannot be
quantified.
3 Traditional RFT is used to account for the transfer
of an earlier sight’s position circle for the run
between sights.
None of the above precepts have general validity.
With i. we mean specifically that the fix is generally
inside the cocked hat but in irregular n-polygons in
an eccentric position (e.g see Fig. 6). A fix with
more than three sights may even lie outside the
cocked hat n-polygon. One notion propounded by
G. Huxtable
1
and apparently taught in nav classes in
England is that the chance of the celestial fix lying
outside the 3-polygon is 75%, outside the 4-polygon
87½% etc. The notion derives from random
errors in compass bearings in coastal navigation
(see Fig. 1)
2.
With random + and - deviations, the
terrestrial fix with three sights has a 75% chance of
physically lying in peripheral cocked hat areas
(Fig. 1, areas 1 to 6). There is only a 25% of the fix
lying in cocked hat areas abc and def. The terrestrial
construction is not possible unless (unknown) values
are assigned to the deviations.
Fig. 1. Errors in terrestrial compass bearings versus celestial
observation errors
The + and - deviations in terrestrial bearings are
equated with the chance of getting toward (+) and
away (-) intercept (p) combinations in celestial
navigation. The idea pursued by Huxtable is that the
celestial fix will only lie inside the triangle when the
p-values are + + + or - - -, which is simply incorrect.
The p-values are only corrections for inaccurate DR
position. With three sights the random error fix will
always lie inside the triangle and the observation
errors e1, e2 and e3 are measurable. There is a
theoretical 25% chance of getting a consistent
3-polygon (e
i
= +++, or ---). Based on the azimuth
distributions of stars listed in AP 3270 Vol. 1 this
chance is more like 40%.
2 LSQ PECULIARITIES
The programmatic approach is based on LSQ
(least squares method). The version demonstrated in
B.D. Yallop and C.Y. Hohenkerk (1986) is applied
to non-simultaneous sights and uses a RFT-based
subroutine. We refer to this version as LSQ*. As
RFT is not generally valid as a transfer technique,
also LSQ* is not generally valid. For simultaneous
sights the method is simply LSQ. Both programs
compute a random error fix and its random error
margin.
Yallop-Hohenkerk (1986, xx) assert that “it is
possible to start from any position on the Earth, and,
provided that
λ
f
(i.e Long
DR
) is kept in the range -
180
o
to +180
o
and
ϕ
f
(i.e Lat
DR
) in the range -90
o
to
+90
o
, the position solution in most cases will begin
to converge after a few iterations”. A position
solution is indeed in principle independent from the
initial assumption but different DR assumptions are
necessary to force LSQ into finding the two
alternative position fixes resulting from two sights
with intersecting position circles. This may be
demonstrated with a numerical example
3
. For two
simultaneous sights the two alternative position fixes
can be found by applying either a double sight
method like K-Z
4
or LSQ. Results with K-Z are:
Q = 0.387623; R = 0.277141; S = 1.196021;
Lat
1
= 49.8408; Lat
2
= -6.6652
MD1,1a = 79.7248; MD1,1b = 15.3635; MD2,1a =
65.7485; MD2,1b = 29.3398
Long
1
= GHA
S
+ MD1,1a = GHA
M
- MD1,1b =3.9715 W;
Long
2
= GHA
S
+ MD2,1a = GHA
M
- MD2,1b = 10.0048 E;
Lat
1
~Long
1
= 49.8408 N/3.9715 W (LHA
S
280.2752 ~ Zn
S
85.4518;
LHA
M
15.3635 ~ 205.3902); Lat
2
~Long
2
= 6.6652
S/10.0048 E (LHA
S
294.2515 ~ Zn
S
67.4722; LHA
M
29.3398 ~
Zn
M
307.5339).
Note: SinLat
1,2
= (Q ± R
½
)/S; MD = meridian difference.
The same coordinates are found with LSQ using
an appropriate initial position in each instance: